Reason for the Error
As per the error message, .SelectNodes() requires that the xpath string parameter evaluates to a node set, e.g. this xpath will return an XmlNodeList containing 3 nodes:
var nodeSet = document.SelectNodes("/altinkaynak/DOVIZ");
Supplying an xpath which returns a single node is also acceptable - the returned XmlNodeList will just have a single node:
var nodeSet = document.SelectNodes("(/altinkaynak/DOVIZ)[1]");
However, it is not possible to return non-node values, such as scalar expressions:
var nodeSet = document.SelectNodes("count(/altinkaynak/DOVIZ)");
Error: Expression must evaluate to a node-set.
Instead for XmlDocument, you would need to create a navigator, compile an expression, and evaluate it:
var navigator = document.CreateNavigator();
var expr = navigator.Compile("count(/altinkaynak/DOVIZ)");
var count = navigator.Evaluate(expr); // 3 (nodes)
If you switch your Xml parsing stack from using XmlDocument to a Linq to Xml XDocument there is a much more concise way to evaluate scalar expressions:
var count = xele.XPathEvaluate("count(/altinkaynak/DOVIZ)");
Badly formed Xpath
This same error (Expression must evaluate to a node-set) is also frequently returned for xpaths which are invalid altogether
var nodeSet = document.SelectNodes("{Insert some really badly formed xpath here!}");
Error: Expression must evaluate to a node-set.
OP's Question
You have an error in your Xpath. What you probably want is this:
doc.SelectNodes("//ALTINKAYNAK/DOVIZ[ADI='" + dovizKuru2 + "']/ALIS") // ...
which will return the ALIS child of the DOVIZ element which has an ADI child with a value of dovizKuru2 (which is presumably a variable for currency such as USD)