Summary (tldr)
I need to perform a rolling regression on an irregular time series (i.e. the interval may not even be periodic and go from 0, 1, 2, 3... to ...7, 20, 24, 28...) that's simple numeric and does not necessarily require date/time, but the rolling window needs be by time. So if I have a timeseries that is irregularly sampled for 600 seconds and the window is 30, the regression is performed every 30 seconds, and not every 30 samples.
I've read examples, and while I could replicate doing rolling sums and medians by time, I can't seem to figure it out for regression.
The problem
First of all, I have read some of the other questions with regards to performing rolling functions on irregular time series data, such as this: optimized rolling functions on irregular time series with time-based window, and this: Rolling window over irregular time series.
The issue is that the examples provided, so far, are simple for equations like sum or median, but I have not yet figured out how to perform a simple rolling regression, i.e. using lm, that is still based on the same caveat that the window is based on an irregular time series. Also, my timeseries is much, much simpler; no date is necessary, it's simply time "elapsed".
Anyway, getting this right is important to me because with irregular time - for example, a skip in the time interval - may give an over- or underestimate of the coefficients in the rolling regression, as the sample window will include additional time.
So I was wondering if anyone can help me with creating a function that does this in the simplest way? The dataset is based on measuring a variable over time i.e. 2 variables: time, and response. Time is measured every x time elapsed units (seconds, minutes, so not date/time formatted), but once in a while it becomes irregular.
For every row in the function, it should perform a linear regression based on a width of n time units. The width should never exceed n units, but may be floored (i.e. reduced) to accomodate irregular time sampling. So for example, if the width is specified at 20 seconds, but time is sampled every 6 seconds, then the window will be rounded to 18, not 24 seconds.
I have looked at the question here: How to calculate the average slope within a moving window in R, and I tested that code on an irregular time series, but it looks like it's based on regular time series.
Sample data:
sample <-
structure(list(x = c(0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12,
13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28,
29, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 47, 48,
49), y = c(50, 49, 48, 47, 46, 47, 46, 45, 44, 43, 44, 43, 42,
41, 40, 41, 40, 39, 38, 37, 38, 37, 36, 35, 34, 35, 34, 33, 32,
31, 30, 29, 28, 29, 28, 27, 26, 25, 26, 25, 24, 23, 22, 21, 20,
19)), .Names = c("x", "y"), class = c("tbl_df", "tbl", "data.frame"
), row.names = c(NA, -46L))
My current code (based on a previous question I referred to). I know it's not subsetting by time:
library(zoo)
clm <- function(z) coef(lm(y ~ x, as.data.frame(z)))
rollme <- rollapplyr(zoo(sample), 10, clm, by.column = F, fill = NA)
The expected output (manually calculated) is below. The output is different from a regular rolling regression -- the numbers are different as soon as the time interval skips at 29 (secs):
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
-0.696969697
-0.6
-0.551515152
-0.551515152
-0.6
-0.696969697
-0.6
-0.551515152
-0.551515152
-0.6
-0.696969697
-0.6
-0.551515152
-0.551515152
-0.6
-0.696969697
-0.6
-0.551515152
-0.551515152
-0.6
-0.696969697
-0.605042017
-0.638888889
-0.716981132
-0.597560976
-0.528301887
-0.5
-0.521008403
-0.642857143
-0.566666667
-0.551515152
-0.551515152
-0.6
-0.696969697
-0.605042017
-0.638888889
-0.716981132
I hope I'm providing enough information, but let me know (or give me a guide to a good example somewhere) for me to try this?
Other things I have tried: I've tried converting the time to POSIXct format but I don't know how to perform lm on that:
require(lubridate)
x <- as.POSIXct(strptime(sample$x, format = "%S"))
Update : Added tldr section.
